If you want to read some really good analysis of the prospects for an Israeli attack on Iran - much better than the paper I critiqued here - then read this paper by Ron Tira. It’s a model of clear reasoning and strategic understanding and is by far the best thing I’ve read on the matter.

I found Tira’s paper at the Kings of War blog - essential reading for military affairs wonks - where Tomas Rid introduces it and summarizes some of its arguments. Excellent though it is, Rid’s post can only hint at the worth of Tira’s paper so you need to read it all for yourself.